Tom Bailey turned a $20K vintage neon sign from Reno into a $80K-a-month coffee bar in East Austin in just 90 days. On camera, Founderpath funded $50,000 to buy an ice machine, build a back-of-house, and expand the wine program — structured as a 3-year term loan at 6% plus a 2% perpetual dividend in the bar (half the rate Tom’s friends-and-family investors received).
Best Monthly Revenue
First-Month Net Profit
Founder Equity
Open Before The Deal
The full picture: who Tom is, what he built in 90 days, what he asked for, and the hybrid loan-plus-dividend structure that closed on camera.
The business
Business
Fortune Teller
Founder
Tom Bailey
Location
East Austin, Texas (3 miles south of downtown)
Opened
July 1, 2025
Category
Brick-and-mortar · Coffee + cocktail bar with food trucks on site
Hours
8 a.m. – midnight (Sun–Thu) · 8 a.m. – 2 a.m. (Fri–Sat)
First-month revenue
$75,000
August revenue
Nearly $80,000
Year-2 October projection
$180,000/month
Total raise to open
$900,000 (under $1M)
Lease
10-year with renewal option · Under $10K/month rent
Property size
Half an acre
Equity ownership
Tom 74% · 9 friends-and-family investors 26%
The ask
Capital ask
$50,000
Use of funds
Ice machine rental, back-of-house production facility, expanded wine program
Current ice cost
$4,000/month from Quick Ice (vs $350/month for a rented machine)
Profit lost to ice in first 3 months
$12,000
Comparable nearby concept
Little Darling — $5.2M annual alcohol sales
The deal
Capital deployed
$50,000
Repayment
$50K paid back over 3 years at a fixed 6% interest rate
Long-term participation
2% of bar dividends in perpetuity (after loan payoff)
Investor parity
50% discount vs friends-and-family terms (they got 2% per $25K)
Equity given up
0% — dividend right is non-equity
Personal guarantee
None
Outcome
Closed on camera
Fortune Teller hit $80K/month in 90 days because alcohol margins carry the P&L and ice was the single most expensive operational drag. The deal fixes that.
Spirits, beer, wine
89%
$67K
Coffee
11%
$8K
Food truck rent (Sabor Tapatio)
2%
$1.5K
Tom planned to open with $150K in operating capital. He opened with $25K. The biggest victim of that shortfall was the back-of-house: no walk-in cooler, no ice machine. Quick Ice fills run $450 each, two to three times per week.
2020
Tom starts dreaming of a coffee + cocktail bar
5-year vision begins.
2024 — Dec
Vintage Reno fortune-teller neon sign installed
$6K to buy from 90-year-old Teddy Williams. $20K all-in with re-tubing and transport.
2025 — Q1
Capital raised
$200K personal · $250K friends-and-family at 2% per $25K perpetual dividend · $450K commercial loan (interest-only year 1, 6% thereafter)
2025 — Jul 1
CO received and doors open
100 people show up at 8:30 p.m. opening night. First-day revenue $2,000.
2025 — Jul
First full month
$75,000 in revenue · $15K–$17K net profit. The bar is in the black on day 1 of being open.
2025 — Aug
Second full month
Nearly $80,000 in revenue. Pace accelerating.
2026
Founderpath funds back-of-house and equipment
$50,000 · 6% loan over 3 years · 2% perpetual dividend after payoff
Every term answers a real-world question. Here’s the logic behind a $50K loan-plus-perpetual-dividend hybrid for a brand-new coffee bar.
Fortune Teller is already cash-flow positive on day one — Tom hit $15K–$17K of net profit in his first month open. A revenue share would penalize an operator who is already covering operating costs. A 6% fixed-rate loan over 3 years is the cleanest, cheapest way to get the back-of-house built without complicating an already-working P&L.
Tom’s nine friends-and-family investors got 2% of bar dividends in perpetuity per $25K invested — the same deal Tom himself took at his first investment in Whistlers (where he made roughly 15x his money over 12 years). Founderpath’s post-loan participation is half that rate (2% vs the 4% pro-rata at $50K) because the loan was already paying a fixed 6%.
Tom is paying $4,000 a month for ice from Quick Ice. Renting an ice machine costs $350 a month. That’s $43,800 a year in lost margin — almost the entire $50K loan paid back in one year of operational savings. Capital matched to a single, measurable, immediate ROI is the easiest underwriting Founderpath does.
Tom called this the second half of his life plan. The fixed loan ends after 3 years; the dividend right is forever. That structure says “we’re here for the 20-year version of Fortune Teller, not just the buildout.” It mirrors how the founder thinks about his own capital and the friends-and-family investors he raised.
This is a hybrid Term Loan with a non-equity dividend right: a 3-year amortizing loan at 6% plus a 2% perpetual share of bar dividends after payoff. It is designed for already-cash-flow-positive operators who want equipment and renovation capital without giving up control or raising another equity round.
Equipment financing for brick and mortar operators →Founderpath funds brick and mortar operators with non-dilutive capital from $50K to $5M — for equipment, renovations, second-location buildouts, and working capital smoothing. Here’s the bar we underwrite against.
Annual revenue
$250K+ run rate — Fortune Teller hit a $900K+ annualized run rate in 90 days
Operating history
90+ days of consistent revenue (not just a soft-open week)
Margins
Cash-flow positive in operations — a Founderpath check should fund growth, not survival
Use of funds
Specific equipment or renovation with measurable monthly savings or revenue lift
Cap table
Founder controls majority equity (Tom retains 74%)
Equity given up
Zero — dividend rights are non-equity participation
What the Fortune Teller deal teaches every brick-and-mortar founder thinking about capital for equipment and renovations.
Tom found a one-of-one vintage neon sign in Reno, wrote a letter to its 90-year-old owner, and bought it for $6,000. Once the sign went up in December 2024, six months before opening, neighborhood interest exploded. Demand was built before the bar served its first drink. The single most important capital expense was a sign.
Fortune Teller did $75K in its first month — exactly the pro-forma target. That datapoint immediately unlocked a 6% loan from Founderpath. The single biggest leverage point for raising more capital is showing the first capital partner was right.
Tom was paying $4,000/month for ice from a third-party vendor. A rented machine costs $350/month. That single line item was eating $43,800 per year of margin. Capital deployed against the worst operational leak compounds faster than capital deployed against growth.
Tom calls Fortune Teller the second half of his life plan. He raised friends-and-family capital with perpetual dividend rights, not exit-driven equity. The Founderpath deal mirrored that — a 3-year fixed loan plus a perpetual dividend right. The capital structure should match the operator’s time horizon.
Tom rejected a hypothetical $400,000 buyout offer instantly. He’s building this for the long term and the people he raised from. Founderpath’s deal worked because it preserved his ownership, paid his existing investors fairly, and gave Founderpath a long-term economic stake. Rate matters; alignment matters more.
The Fortune Teller deal, explained.
$50,000 in capital, structured as a 3-year amortizing loan at a fixed 6% interest rate, plus a 2% perpetual dividend on the bar after the loan is paid back. The use of funds is to rent an ice machine (replacing the $4,000/month ice spend), build out a back-of-house production facility, and expand the wine program.
Tom’s existing $450K commercial loan from his bank was interest-only for the first year, then resets to roughly 6%. The Founderpath loan matches that rate so Fortune Teller’s blended cost of debt stays consistent. Founderpath also gets the 2% perpetual dividend, which is the long-term economic alignment.
No, it is not equity. A perpetual dividend right entitles the holder to a percentage of the bar’s declared dividend distributions for as long as the bar operates. Tom’s nine friends-and-family investors got 2% per $25K invested. Founderpath’s rate is half (2% on a $50K check rather than 4% pro rata) because the underlying loan was already paying 6% interest separately.
Tom estimates 30% of quarterly revenue distributed to investors at year-2 scale ($180K/month run rate). On a 2% perpetual dividend right, Founderpath’s implied annual payout would scale with bar performance. Tom’s own historical comp: he made roughly $380K over 12 years on a $25K check into Whistlers under the same structure.
Tom calls Fortune Teller the second half of his life plan and raised from people he wants to build this with. A buyout would have ended the project he spent five years dreaming about and let down nine friends-and-family investors. The capital structure with Founderpath specifically preserves all of that.
POS, bank, and accounting data. Founderpath underwrites in 24 to 48 hours by connecting directly to those systems. Tom had three months of revenue data showing $75K, $80K, and a small September dip — that level of operating history is the threshold for a deal this size.
Yes. The Fortune Teller deal is reproducible for cash-flow-positive bars, coffee shops, and restaurants with at least 90 days of operating data, a clear equipment or renovation use of funds, and a clean cap table where the founder retains majority equity. The hybrid loan-plus-dividend structure works particularly well for operators who already have friends-and-family investors on the same terms.
A hybrid Term Loan with a non-equity dividend right. Founderpath also offers pure Term Loans for $1M+ revenue operators, Merchant Cash Advances for seasonal cash flows, and Revenue Financing for SaaS founders.
Every word from the conversation between Nathan and Tom, lightly cleaned for readability.